Underdog Boxing Picks: Khan versus Maidana

It’s time again to make a fool of myself by saying out in the open who I think will be the winners of this weekend’s boxing events. It will be a busy weekend with two big cards. This week I will try to breakdown four fights. Two in the light welterweight division and two in the ultra-hot bantamweight division.

I’ve written another article for fhm.com.ph so you can scoot over there for my thoughts on Nonito Donaire and how he is in the right place at the right time by being in the bantamweight division.

Anyway, let’s proceed with the picks.

Amir Khan versus Marcos Maidana

This is a pretty tough fight to break down because of the stark difference between the styles of the two fighters. Khan has a record of 23-1-0, with 17 KOs while Maidana also has a tremendous record of 29-1-0, 27 KOs.

Only two fighters have survived to hear the final bell against Maidana and that speaks volumes about his power. Khan on the other hand uses speed and combination-punching to knock his opponents out. He way not have the one-punch KO power of Maidana but he is definitely not feather-fisted.

The wild card in this fight is Khan’s ability to take a punch. The last fight he had against a puncher ended with Khan on his back in the very first round. Khan claims that his training with Freddie Roach has increased his defensive ability. Although Khan is surely the more-polished fighter, Maidana’s power is the game changer. I really like Maidana as a fighter and as I’ve said before, I’m a big fan of his work and his attitude but I’m going with skill and speed with this one. In Freddie Roach, I trust.

Amir Khan wins by TKO in the 8th round

Victor Ortiz (28-2-1, 22 KOS) versus Lamont Peterson (28-1-0, 14 KOs)

This fight between Ortiz and Peterson is the main supporting bout of the Khan-Maidana fight. Ortiz is coming of four straight victories since suffering the first defeat of his career, incidentally against Maidana. Peterson on the other hand has bounced back with a knockout win over Damian Fuller after he was dealt his first defeat in his career by Timothy Bradley.

Both fighters need to win to get themselves back into the thick of things in the busy light welterweight division. This is a really tough pick but I think Victor Ortiz will win this one.

Ortiz via unanimous decision

The next set of fights will be held at the Emerald Queen Casino in Tacoma as Showtime presents the first part of a single-elimination bantamweight tournament. If you ask me, this is much smarter and easier than the Super Six tournament in the super middle weight division.

Anyway, here are the picks.

Yohnny Perez (20-0-1, 14 KOs) versus Joseph Agbeko (27-2-0, 22 KOs)

This is rematch of their fight late last year. Perez ended up winning that one over Agbeko via unanimous decision. Agbeko is a power puncher. His boxing is not pretty to watch sometimes but it is effective. He holds a UD win over Darchinyan and as you may see from his record, Agbeko can punch.

Perez on the other hand is a technically skilled fighter. His style isn’t what you can call fan-friendly but he knows how to win fights. His last fight was a majority draw against Mares. In that fight, Perez won most of the early and middle rounds but he fizzled in the end which gave Mares the chance to catch up.

I’m leaning towards Perez in this one. I think his skill, like in their first fight, will be too much for the crude Agbeko. The Ghanaian is powerful but I don’t think he’ll land many punches against a fighter as skilled as Perez
Perez via unanimous decision

Vic Darchinyan (35-2-1, 27 KOs) versus Abner Mares (20-0-1, 13 KOs)

This for me is the second most interesting match of the night, second to Khan versus Maidana. We all know who Darchinyan is. He punches really hard but his style is unorthodox. Mares on the other hand is a bit of an unknown. I’ve only seen him once on Philippine TV and that was his draw against Perez.

I liked what I saw in Mares although he did coast in the middle rounds against Perez. IF Mares can fight the whole fight against Darchinyan like he did in the final rounds against Perez, the Mares has a huge shot at winning.
I’m going out on a limb here and say the new kid in the block beats Darchinyan. The Raging Bull has only fought four times as a bantamweight. The first two were against tomato cans early in his career. In his third fight in this division he was beaten by Agbeko. Then he won an easy decision against Filipino journeyman Eric Barcelona. Mares on the other hand has fought mostly in the bantamweight category.

Mares by unanimous decision

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